CME neutral conv. core manter CME Group
Mega Stalwart
Leading operator of global derivatives exchanges focado em rates,
commodities, equities e FX. Attractive durable business que deve
continuar a beneficiar de global macro volatility. Competitive
threat from upstart exchange continues to dissipate.
HSY neutral conv. core manter Hershey Company
Large Stalwart
Dominant North American chocolate and salty snack business facing
headline pressures por recent surge em cocoa prices e GLP-1 worries.
Likely overblown fears permitiram entry price atractivo em advance de
potential share gains e harvesting de recently elevated investment
spend.
TDY neutral conv. core manter Teledyne Technologies
Large Stalwart
Producer de specialty electronics, components e technologies
primariamente focado em imaging sensors e cameras. Dinged pela
transformative 2021 FLIR acquisition, expectations e valuation foram
reset, balance sheet is clean, e a company is positively exposed to
reshoring trends e rising defense spending.
STE bullish conv. core nova posição STERIS plc
Mid Stalwart
Leader em infection prevention, sterilization e procedural solutions
para healthcare providers, hospitals, pharmaceutical e bioprocess
customers. Apesar de modelo defensivo (~75% sales de service e
consumables), STE historicamente entregou high single-digit organic
growth e foi active em M&A. Valuation reasonable a 22x 2026 EPS
(em linha com medium-term history) e balance sheet a 1x net
leverage — opportunity for capital deployment. Tailwinds de aging
global population e continued healthcare innovation.
Japan Exchange Group
Mid Stalwart
Largest exchange operator em Japan com exposure a equities,
derivatives e information services. Key driver e beneficiary de
ongoing efforts to reform Japanese equity market structure e corporate
governance standards — bem como de ongoing global market volatility.
Diploma plc
Mid Stalwart
UK-based specialty distributor focado em essential consumable products
em life sciences, seals (machinery) e controls (aerospace wiring/
harnesses). Unique model e conservative M&A strategy historicamente
permitiram attractive free cash flow growth through the cycle.
Holcim Ltd
Large Cyclical
Switzerland-based global cement, aggregates e building materials
company. Anticipated executed spin-off de U.S. operations deverá
continuar a unlock shareholder value; European operations deverão
perform well à medida que war in Ukraine eventually winds down.
Sandvik AB
Large Cyclical
Sweden-based provider de mining, metal-cutting e other industrial
equipment and tools. Dominant share em mining equipment e outsized
exposure a gold miners, combinado com modest valuation e elevated
gold prices fazem por perspetiva atractiva.
WST bullish conv. média nova posição West Pharmaceutical Services
Mid Stalwart
Leading producer de packaging e components para injectable drug
delivery devices (seals, elastomer stoppers, syringe components).
Larger e mais dominant competitor da Aptar's Pharma. Em adição a
tailwinds de growing GLP-1 usage (small minority of sales), WST
deverá beneficiar de continued advancements em drug development e
push para reshore drug manufacturing. Valuation re-rated para ~23x
2026 EBITDA — reasonable dada solid consistent growth e deep
regulatory-driven competitive advantages.
KDEF bullish conv. média nova posição PLUS Korea Defense Industry ETF
Mid Cyclical
Concentrated ETF com exposure a Korea's leading defense e
shipbuilding contractors. Top 3 holdings: Hanwha Aerospace (17%),
Hyundai Rotem (13%), HJ Shipbuilding (9%). Tese: elevated/rising
geopolitical tensions Asia-Pacific drive sustained defense investment
for years; Korean industry com significant cost advantages vs US/Eur
peers, cheaper/faster, NATO-compatible; potencial de capture global
share à medida que NATO allies funding burden shifts; Korean
governance reforms pro-shareholder em curso; valuations reasonable
absolute e relative.
Smiths Group plc
Mid Turnaround
Historicamente sleepy UK-based industrial conglomerate focado em
specialty industrial niches e security/detection. Recent activist
pressure levou management a commit a transforming the business
shedding non-core units e focando nos strongest legacy segments.
BIO bullish conv. média nova posição Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc.
Mid Turnaround
Global producer de clinical diagnostic e life sciences products,
market leader em maioria dos products. ~70% sales recurring/
consumable. Importantly, BIO owns >35% de Germany-listed Sartorius
(SRT-DE) — global leader em bioprocessing. Tax-affected, SRT stake
representa quase 50% do EV de BIO, implicando valuation well-below
market para core operating business — 9x 2026 EBITDA accounting
for SRT stake. Both BIO e SRT viram sharp de-ratings em COVID-era
hangovers; entry particularmente atractivo dada prospect de
troughing fundamentals.
MKTX neutral conv. média manter MarketAxess Holdings
Mid Turnaround -1,9% contrib.
Challenged member do fixed income/credit "exchange" duopoly. Dado o
macro/geopolitical backdrop e depressed valuation, company aparenta
likely to stabilize market share (or better) no near-term e/ou ser
acquired por large exchange no medium-term.
FCN neutral conv. média manter FTI Consulting
Mid Cyclical
Boutique consulting e advisory firm com deep experience em
restructuring, dispute/conflict advisory e other practices.
Challenges em non-core segment depressed expectations para shares
apesar de environment que deve ultimately drive strong e rising
demand.
Chemring Group plc
Small Cyclical
Niche UK-based defense contractor focado em defensive flares,
specialty explosives e cyber warfare. Setup para shares inclui
undemanding valuation, accelerating sector tailwinds, clean balance
sheet, strategic assets e active buyback.
GOOGL bearish conv. starter reduzir Alphabet Inc.
Mega Stalwart +2,9% contrib.
LEAPS (long-term call options) implemented earlier in 2025 para
proteger short book de acceleration do AI bubble. Alphabet
perceived como likely beneficiary de AI bubble e relatively out of
favor at entry. Hedge altamente eficaz no T3 (+290 bps gross) e
offset most of Fund's losses from shorts. Hoje effectively reduced
para Starter size — Livadas explícito: "I am not about to become a
big tech-focused investor."
I won't hesitate to be creative in mitigating portfolio risks, I am not about to become a big tech-focused investor.
"Não hesitarei em ser criativo a mitigar portfolio risks, mas não estou prestes a tornar-me um big tech-focused investor."
INTC bearish conv. starter reduzir Intel Corp.
Mega Turnaround +2,6% contrib.
LEAPS (long-term call options) implemented earlier in 2025 para
proteger short book de acceleration do AI bubble. Intel perceived
como likely beneficiary de AI bubble e relatively out of favor at
entry. Hedge altamente eficaz no T3 (+265 bps gross). Hoje
effectively reduced para Starter size — Livadas não pretende
tornar-se big tech-focused investor.
IMXI bearish conv. starter reduzir International Money Express
Micro Asset Play +5,3% contrib.
Remittance payment provider. Upslope tracking IMXI for several
quarters com small Starter position. Late July, Livadas observou
company clearly late announcing Q2 resultados date — signal de sale
or fraud. Dada IMXI history (share price collapse, strategic
discussion pressure), suspeitou take-out. Purchased call options
betting em take-out near-term limiting downside. Em 10 Agosto,
Western Union anunciou aquisição a 60% premium. Most da position
sold shortly thereafter — residual mantida no portfolio snapshot.
EVR bearish conv. média sair Evercore Inc.
Cyclical
Leading independent M&A advisor. Saída do Fund no trimestre devida a
full valuation e better opportunities for capital. Since inception
da Upslope long/short strategy em 2016, Evercore (held multiple
times) foi the largest individual contributor ao desempenho.